Core Strategy
- No stop loss is used; stocks are held until they become profitable.
- Swing trades can turn into long-term investments if the entry was poorly timed.
- Focus is on large-cap stocks with long-term upward trends.
- Risk is managed before entering a trade by selecting strong, resilient stocks.
Stock Selection Process
- Build a watchlist from large-cap corporations listed on NYSE or NASDAQ.
- Filter out LLPs, LLCs, and newer stocks (post-2008 IPOs).
- Use maximum monthly charts to identify long-term uptrends.
- Avoid stocks with horizontal or downward trends.
Long up trend line entry method
- Trace long uptrend lines through obvious lows.
- Use maximum daily charts for precise entry analysis.
- Wait for the stock to pull back to a support line.
- Confirm reversal with at least three higher lows before buying.
- Buy on the first or second green bar after confirmation.
Examples
- Google (GOOGL): Bought in March, held through a 2-month drawdown, sold in August for 25% gain.
- GWW: Bought twice; first entry was premature, second entry aligned with a stronger support line.
- ICE: Currently not at a buy zone; monitoring for future entry.
- GD: Held for 5 months in red before selling for 20% gain.
Risk Management Philosophy
- Accept unrealized losses; avoid panic selling.
- Stocks may linger near support lines before rising.
- Patience is key—some trades may take months to become profitable.
- Dividend stocks may also be held long-term, even if negative.
Portfolio Insights
- Some stocks sold at a loss (e.g., Walgreens, dividend stocks).
- Losses are learning opportunities to refine strategy.
- Use trade journaling (arrows on charts) to track and learn from entries and exits.
Lifestyle Integration
- Swing trading is done alongside work, school, business, and family.
- Weekly analysis preferred over daily due to slower movement of large-cap stocks.
- Strategy is flexible and suitable for long-term financial independence.
Final Notes
- Test new stocks with small positions (e.g., one share).
- Flag and remove stocks that don’t align with the strategy.
- Swing trading is part of a broader financial journey toward independence.
How to manage risk in swing trading-Long up trend line entry method
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