Chart-Based Swing Trading Tips
Identifying Trend Reversals & Entry Points
- Use maximum monthly chart to trace long support lines through obvious lows.
- Select support lines where price previously pulled back and bounced—these are potential valley lines.
- On the maximum daily chart, observe price behavior near these support lines.
- Wait for higher lows after a pullback to confirm upward movement before entering a swing trade.
- Avoid buying immediately after a pullback—wait for confirmation via green bars and higher lows.
Example: NDAQ
- Price pulled back near a long-term support line but didn’t touch it—indicating a possible rest before rising.
- Entry point is when price starts forming higher lows after touching or nearing the support line.
- Avoid buying if price is still high compared to the support line.
Example: NVDA
- Traded using short uptrend swing strategy in 2024.
- Bought at support line, held through pullbacks, sold after reaching a new high.
- Arrows on chart indicate buy (up arrow) and sell (down arrow) points.
Exit Strategies
- New High Exit: Sell when the stock reaches a new all-time high.
- Time-Based Exit: Stay in the trade for a duration similar to previous uptrend cycles (e.g., 6 months to 1 year) or half the previous uptrend cycle.
- Quantified Exit: Use price ratio from previous cycle (e.g., 153/37 = 4.1x). Apply to current low (e.g., 86 × 4 = 344) to estimate potential high.
NVDA Trade Recap
- Bought at $139 in late 2024, sold at $159 in July 2025.
- Net profit: $1,567 or 14% return over ~6 months.
- Held through negative period, exited after reaching new high.
General Swing Trading Advice
- Start small: One share at a time with a $1 profit target.
- Scale up once strategy proves profitable with a stock.
- Use a curated watch list of large-cap, upward-growth stocks.
- Large-cap stocks are less volatile, ideal for beginners.
- Avoid relying on external stock recommendations—learn to find your own.
- Maintain and refine your watch list based on performance and strategy fit.
Dividend Stocks
- ABT and JNJ were purchased for dividend income, not in our 2025 list for swing trading.
- Sold when positive to reallocate funds to swing trading.
Summary
- Swing trading is a way to grow savings and protect against inflation.
- Use your time wisely—let your money work for you.
- Build financial independence by learning to trade and investing strategically.
How do I identify trend reversals and entries-Swing trading chart analysis
https://open.spotify.com/episode/2F5g6K2k3YqsdSzY2rUKnk?si=iadzdGowR5yVdlORy-fH-w
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